Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.119379 0.135135 0.152946 0.174728 0.200860 0.231475 0.270461
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.101428 0.123432 0.150925 0.188511 0.239723 0.308889 0.412742
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.087499 0.112411 0.146019 0.196283 0.272611 0.389899 0.596944
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.076804 0.102893 0.140283 0.200481 0.300814 0.474202 0.832982
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.068074 0.094248 0.133615 0.200962 0.322542 0.556132 1.120116
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.060656 0.086194 0.126120 0.197925 0.336674 0.629656 1.449490
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.056261 0.082024 0.123885 0.203103 0.367532 0.752775 2.036851
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.051136 0.075960 0.117456 0.199057 0.378089 0.834331 2.605672
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.047814 0.072411 0.114765 0.201517 0.403716 0.970609 3.624798
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.044388 0.068274 0.110402 0.199641 0.418548 1.086072 4.824885
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.042134 0.065902 0.108927 0.203515 0.449369 1.277185 7.125422
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.040424 0.064291 0.108646 0.209934 0.489721 1.540517 11.437949
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038133 0.061452 0.105701 0.209899 0.512611 1.762465 17.393618
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036413 0.059510 0.104327 0.213450 0.548799 2.095261 30.467431
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.034839 0.057691 0.102979 0.216834 0.586589 2.498008 58.986119
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033330 0.055854 0.101363 0.219225 0.622620 2.960380 128.599263
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031742 0.053727 0.098871 0.218781 0.648354 3.411654 306.483115
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030058 0.051276 0.095402 0.214983 0.659493 3.782268 775.916012
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029166 0.050337 0.095215 0.220599 0.714150 4.718106 10135.340496
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.027686 0.048088 0.091799 0.216015 0.721196 5.189080 710719.576337
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.026771 0.046939 0.090822 0.218730 0.765309 6.311727 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.025643 0.045265 0.088441 0.216626 0.784853 7.205895 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.024951 0.044458 0.088063 0.220943 0.842048 9.120307 NaN